Global warming could cause an 18 percent drop in world food production by 2050

sasrai-Movement Birthday and Earth Day Appeal

ROME, Dec 18 (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – Global warming could cause an 18 percent drop in world food production by 2050, but investments in irrigation and infrastructure, and moving food output to different regions, could reduce the loss, a study published on Thursday said.

Globally, irrigation systems should be expanded by more than 25 percent to cope with changing rainfall patterns, the study published in the journal Environmental Research Letters said.

Where they should be expanded is difficult to model because of competing scenarios on how rainfall will change, so the majority of irrigation investments should be made after 2030, the study said.

“If you don’t carefully plan (where to spend resources), you will get adaptation wrong,” David Leclere, one of the study’s authors, told the Thomson Reuters Foundation.

Infrastructure and processing chains will need to be built in areas where there was little agriculture before in order to expand production, he said.

International food markets will require closer integration to respond to global warming, as production will become more difficult in some southern regions, but new land further north will become available for growing crops.

Based on the study’s models, Leclere expects production to increase in Europe, while much of Africa will remain dependent on imports.

If climate change is managed correctly, food production could even rise 3 percent by 2050, the study said, as a higher concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has a fertilizing effect on plants.

Managing water resources is expected to be the biggest challenge for farmers steming from climate change.
Water “may become dramatically scarcer much earlier than previously thought,” Michael Obersteiner, another study co-author, said in a statement. (Reporting By Chris Arsenault; Editing by Tim Pearce)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/12/18/climate-change-food-production_n_6349164.html

The human race will soon be finished if we do not learn to collaborate in our diversity

 

Shukhita Bhavantthu

 
It is not useful in judging people. People hug their beliefs, will fight, die or even kill for them. The GODS need no defense, it is we who are a beleaguered human civilization. Learning to appreciate what is grand in people’s rituals could be a way to bring some harmony among different people.     Faith is a very private matter and it is wise to let it be that way. The human race will soon be finished if we do not learn to collaborate in our diversity.

TIRTH is not given to Christians and Muslims because it will change their Nitrate band width, affect their own metaphysical status.    There is a Nature Chemistry behind the injunctions which have wisdom.    Its just that the priests do not know the theory.    The human race is still evolving and refining itself.    When the reality of rituals of just any religion is understood, it will be appreciated and people will become tolerant.

Let me attempt to give you some theory about why people were untouchable.    Knowledge of reality can defuse many tensions.    What is wonderful is that we have learned to address metaphysical aspects in the next generation of the ‘ lower “class” ‘ with Nature Chemistry.    Even the Gene flags get altered.    If you visit me after working under your car and expect to sit on my white sofa, I may permit you after I place newspapers to distance you from the sofa covers, so as not to soil it. Similarly, people who work in toxic conditions pick up the toxicity in their bodies and aura also.    It is unfortunate that people added prejudices and perverse attitudes to exaggerate a logical situation.    With knowledge of reality now available more easily and being able to demonstrate to create insight, such grievances will go.

The word CASTE was created during the British rule.    We had VARANAS.   Most of the children who came to a Gurukul were ‘Shudras’.    But when they left, they were elevated appropriately according to their abilities to perform functions for society.    A Brahmin is given Satvik food and Ghee, etc by society so his body toxicity remains low to enable creative thinking, so he can guide the King and society.    As pollution grew for Natural and Unnatural reasons ( Fossil fuel + Chemical Fertilizer + Indiscriminate use of Allopathy which was cheated the soldiers ), the air and water became contaminated. This also impacted Human behaviour ( 7 Mood states, 7 Sins, etc )    This is how Brahmins got corrupted.  Toxicity is like computer virus. By running Anti Virus programs, you can restore the functioning of the original program. Plant chemistry can do this as it uses toxicity as nutrient to create food, fuel and fibre besides Oxygen too.

We are at an interesting time and space today.    We have to make a willful choice between annihilation and prosperity.  Disappointed people wish for destruction as they cannot bear to see the pain and cruelty in society.    But there are few persons who can see beyond the obvious, and offer healing to transform situations beyond belief.    If we believe that Allah, Brahma, GOD created this magnificent universe and amazing planet whose beauty leaves us speechless, do you doubt that Creation is imperfect ?    In Engineering we translate ‘ Creation is perfect ‘ = ‘ Nature is well designed ‘ if we continue to put spanners in the works, then surely expect breakdown of machinery !    We need to rise above pettiness, above the mundane and rise to higher possibilities.    We create our own limitations.    So only we can change this.

We need to make better sense of the stories we are told.   For example, we are told that all animals on board Noah’s ark were at peace with each other.    It is difficult to believe and then we are told, ” Have faith ” With the precarious condition of this planet today faced with multiple threats, we need to progress to UNDERSTANDING.    New knowledge created with simply advanced Indian Eco Technology created using the Prosperity reaction of plants ( NOx + CO2 + Light / Heat = Food Fuel Fibre + Nascent Oxygen + Cooling. )    In Thailand, you can see tame tigers and snakes too.    The Ecology determines this.    This gives us a hint and useful clues that we can downgrade violence in society.    Our latest understanding is the association with rise in violence against women in New Delhi with the use of C.N.G. as fuel for auto rickshaws, buses and cars.    C.N.G. is a mix of many gases and the manner in which combustion takes place, NOx is created !    That scientists who know this remaining silent conveys the helplessness or neglect or ‘don’t care’ attitude which is damming the whole country.    I call such people as the ‘ Academic Mafia ‘

What could be the reason why GOD cast out Adam and Eve from Eden ?    Just for an apple ?    I suspect today it was NOT an apple.    Plants and trees convert naturally prevailing pollution into vegetable and fruit. In my father’s home town of Mangalore, the practice was to plant Jackfruit tree, Coconut tree and Mango Trees in your court yard and Bananas near your external toilet.    A kitchen garden supplied some of the herbs for the kitchen.    The red soil is having some toxicity. These trees in the front yard convert the pollution into food.    These fruits were for nutrition but what is not discussed by scientists is that they also carried the antidotes to the prevailing toxicity in the Eco systems.    That is how good health was maintained and there was happiness and joy.    As artificial chemicals were used and the rain became toxic and acidic, it dissolved heavy metals from the rocks which entered the food, and of course our bodies.    This created diseases and spoiled our thinking.    I imagine this apple was a toxic fruit high in Nitrate which spoiled the body chemistry. Innocence also has a chemistry.    People need to understand what is the chemistry of Holy water, of the Ganges, of Zam Zam, of ‘ Holy water from Lourdes ‘ Why were they so reputed ?    What exactly is meant to happen when ‘ Hindus’ take a dip in the KUMBH to cleanse their sins ?    What is sin ?    What is the basis of sin ?    When the answers come to you as INSIGHT, you begin to perceive this world in a very different way ?    What is mean by a sinless birth ?    Today we are getting clarity which only astounds, silences us in awe and wonder.

The location of the Golden Temple of the Sikhs who practice the youngest Religion of the world, just a few hundred years old is the very location where a leper was healed with water from a pond ecology after he saw black birds dipping in and emerging white.    They call this water AMRIT.    There is now no reason why we cannot retrieve such a water quality.

The world can learn from INDIA how to use SEA WATER for farming due to this confidence and also create non rusting Iron & Steel like the ASHOKA pillar 

The story was presented in 2006 in GOA with a slide show to the Indian Environmental Association. http://www.greencrosssociety.com/odorless_toilet...

 

Pollution can be transformed into resources using packaged Nature’s prosperity reaction

Carbon Cycle

 

 

 

Pollution can be transformed into resources using packaged Nature’s prosperity reaction.

NEW DELHI: The world must accept that India’s percapita carbon emissions will need to rise rapidly if it is to eliminate poverty, the environment minister said on Friday, as delegates meet in Lima for key UN climate change talks.

India, the world’s third largest carbon emitter, is under growing pressure to set out a strategy to address climate change after the United States and China agreed a deal last month under which Beijing said its emissions would peak by 2030.

India has long defended the principle of “common but differentiated responsibility” — the concept that the burden of emissions reductions and financial assistance to tackle climate change belongs to developed countries.

“They (China and the US) have accepted the differentiated responsibility and the need for time to be given for growth and China is four times ahead of us. So you calculate,” Environment minister Prakash Javadekar told reporters in Delhi.

India’s emissions are around 1.9 tonnes per person — less than China, which emits around 7.2 tonnes per person and the 5 tonnes world average — but with a population of 1.2 billion people it is the third largest emitter and heavily reliant on thermal coal for its energy needs.

Javadekar said the current UN talks in Lima, where delegates from about 190 nations are meeting during Dec. 1-12 to work towards a UN climate treaty in 2015, were not the place to announce when India’s emissions might peak.

We need to grow. Our emissions will grow Our growth cannot be compromised. Poverty must be eliminated immediately,” he said.

SHANTHARAM says :  INDIA can change the game, and also create a U.S. $ 100 Billion opportunity for itself, and could create a real economic growth for its neighbours and the world, which is ecological of possible U.S.$ One Trillion in just a decade.

http://newsroom.unfccc.int/unfccc-newsroom/un-climate-summit-ban-ki-moon-final-summary/

A coalition of institutional investors, committed to decarbonizing $100 billion by December 2015 and to measure and disclose the carbon footprint of at least $500 billion in investments.

Critical gap in approach

Critical gap in approach

India has done well by investing in the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) and associated entities.

The expenditure on technological infrastructure, from satellite systems to flood sensors in rivers, has been well spent, as the accuracy in predicting the onset and intensity of catastrophic natural disasters such as cyclones testifies.

However, the NDMA and other agencies have a critical gap in their approach and framework, as evidenced in their programmatic statements.    Simply put, they lack good social science perspectives, barring a modicum of economics.

They do not demonstrate the understanding that vulnerability cannot be addressed only by technical fixes, but requires more systemic and historical approaches and analytic capability.

The NDMA cannot, however, be faulted for this lapse.    Not one major agency in India exists that integrates the many insights from global research on risk and disaster after Bhopal. 

There is also no training programme that produces the cadres with the breadth of vision encompassing alternatives to the risk paradigm, clean chemistry and sun setting of chemicals, a sophisticated understanding of complex systems and high reliability organisations, reflexive governance, and precautionary regulatory science.

It is an unfortunate reality in the age of highly hazardous industry that accidents are bound to happen. 

It is however the responsibility of all sectors of society to ensure that we are prepared to cope with the aftermath. 

A critical step forward is the investment in research and training.    The time is now.

(S. Ravi Rajan is associate professor, University of California, Santa Cruz, and co-founder in 1986, of the Bhopal Group for Information and Action, an advocacy group.)

Keywords: Bhopal gas disasterdisaster managementNational Disaster Management Authoritysocial infrastructureenvironmental disasters

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/managing-risks-avoiding-disasters/article6662316.ece?utm_source=Vuuklemail&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=Newsletter

UNFORTUNATE TRUTH: “Accidents are bound to happen in the age of hazardous industry, but it is the responsibility of all sectors of society to ensure that we are prepared to cope with the aftermath.” Picture shows photographs of the people who died in the tragedy, at Gandhi Medical College, Bhopal. Photo: A.M. Farqui

Friends,

Having lead the Post Mumbai Deluge Operation to prevent a possible outbreak of PLAGUE in Sasunavghar in VASAI TALUKA, in anticipation of the usual October heat and the fact that MUMBAI had a record of 30 years of PLAGUE in the not too distant past, and also the SURAT plague in 1994, I understood the vulnerability of large cities to great crisis.

For about 3 days, the airport was affected, so were trains, roads flooded, and then having garbage uncollected for several days because there were no contract crew.

I understood after a few months that this event was but a warning for worse to come, so preparing for extreme situations had become necessary.

Even in 2014, I have still not recovered from the effort of our team who dedicated themselves with sincerity, in a war type effort to provide relief with Eco Technology, to avoid epidemics and disease out breaks.

Many lessons have been learnt and need to be shared.

Internet & Social media is useful.

Ecological regards,

Shantharam Shenai

Expertise is often the missing piece in the disaster management puzzle

Shaken by the Bhopal gas disaster in 1984, social scientists worldwide have worked intensively on understanding the complex dynamics underlying such disasters and mobilising theoretical tools that are pragmatic, adaptive and iterative.

This article summarises five key ideas that have emerged from this research.

The first idea is the vulnerability thesis, according to which environmental disasters cannot be explained just by natural trigger events, however large.

They are, on the contrary, caused by the complex interactions between factors generating vulnerability, which have roots in historic social, cultural, ecological, economic and political processes, and the existence of physical hazards.

Further, disasters are not departures from the normal functioning of societies.

Rather, they often exemplify the norm, and exacerbate the potential of a hazardous event. 

Understanding the patterns in human social dynamics in any given region is therefore an important key to building effective institutions.

Some disasters are unique events — rare, unpredictable acts — for which rational responses are difficult.

Others are discrete; they are results of correctable factors such as a failure of a component, limited design error, or a mistake by an operator.

Yet others happen despite calculated risks being assumed, and are often understood only after analysing the cataclysmic event following its occurrence. 

Significantly, there is also a class of disasters which stems from the design of the system itself. 

Such systems are typically interactively complex, and predicting specific outcomes ahead of time is impossible due to adverse signal to noise ratios, and because the sheer range of permutations defining outcomes increases with complexity.

However, even such systems can be improved by effective processes, such as continuous training, multiple redundancies, accountability, better data, hierarchical differentiation and autonomy, and crucially, nurturing cultures of reliability.

Understanding the complexity characteristics of any given disaster management catchment, and devising institutional cultures to counter them, is therefore a second key to building effective institutions.

Politics of infrastructure

Infrastructure and technological systems have politics.

Research on infrastructure conducted over the past decade has shown that infrastructure is fundamentally relational in character, and is defined by the cultural context in which it is produced and used.

Infrastructure is embedded in social arrangements and is transparent to use.

It is for the most part invisible because its use is routine.   It is learned as part memberships of communities and linked with conventions of practice and use.

It is also an embodiment of standards, and is built on an installed base that inherits its strengths and weaknesses.

Infrastructure becomes visible when it breaks down, and when it does, it often reflects how what is routine for some users is a problem for others.

For example, when a hydroelectric dam breaches, the disaster reflects the tensions between the goals of the designers (power generation, flood control), and those of communities immediately downstream, who might have protested its construction in the first place on grounds that it is unsafe for them.

When infrastructure breaks down, it is often fixed incrementally and in a modular fashion, reflecting the need to negotiate multiple interests and viewpoints.

Understanding the politics of infrastructure and the possibilities for engagement and reform is a third crucial key to building effective institutions.

“Not one major agency in India exists that integrates the many insights from global research on risk and disaster after Bhopal”

Democratic processes and shareholder participation are critical for effective governance. 

A great deal of research across social science disciplines has established that technocratic top-down systems of management are largely ineffective, especially in cases of controversies and disasters.

This is particularly so when there is a cultural gap between experts who make policy and lay peoples who have to live the consequences of their policies.

Where such gaps involve a lack of understanding by experts of local ecologies and adaptive processes that are developed historically by communities, significant problems of credibility arise.

Conversely, where experts make conscious attempts to understand local communities, useful synergies might result, including informal data streams that complement, improve, or problematise official data, and, in some cases, better designed systems.

A related body on research on inter-agency, inter-region, and international interactions has demonstrated that more often than not, there is little coordination and sharing of data, synchronisation of events, and even comprehension of processes, even in advanced industrial nations.

Understanding how expert systems interact with each other and with lay communities holds a fourth key to the design of effective disaster management institutions.

Expertise is often the missing piece in the disaster management puzzle. In the aftermath of the Bhopal gas tragedy, three kinds of expertise crucial for managing the aftermath were missing.

Contingent expertise or the administration’s preparedness to respond immediately and effectively to a potential hazard was the first kind.

It is concerned with conscious adaptive mechanisms and institutions built by governments prior to cataclysmic events.

The second was conceptual expertise.    In Bhopal, this referred to the kind of expertise needed to devise long-term rehabilitation strategies and troubleshoot them in practice.

In other places, it involves piecing together the complexity of the entire system.

A case in point is the work on flooding, where policymakers often misdiagnose the causes of floods, and end up exacerbating the problem in the long term.

The third is ethnographic expertise, which refers to an ability to gain a contextual and grounded understanding, and to act on the basis of such experience.

The upshot is that institution building based on anticipation is the key to effective and good governance.

A promising new field of research characterises anticipatory governance as “a broad-based capacity extended through society that can act on a variety of inputs to manage… technologies while such management is still possible.”

This emerging discipline emphasises studies of processes that can engender precaution, foresight, engagement and integration.

It also studies how to create frameworks and dialogic spaces wherein reflexivity can occur.

Understanding how best to anticipate, negotiate, build consensus, and ensure participation is a fifth key component that defines a successful institution for disaster management.

sasrai-Movement Hope the Dignity, Justice, Rights, Victory and Peace for Each

sasrai WED presentation Banbhaban. Dhaka June 07

sasrai Presentation  Photo Album

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People in Asia and the Pacific are four times more likely to be affected by natural disaster 4 time more than in Africa and 25 times more than in Europe or North America?

Africa Will Starve and Asia Will Drown in 30 Years Due to Climate Change

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sasrai Human Chain at Sandwip Ghat on Ship

sasrai Discussion on Bay of Bengal February 04, 2013

“The world is heading for irreversible and potential catastrophic climate change”,

Since 2004 sasrai urging to all, every day to reverse the devastating trend of globe. Central cause of Climate Threat is our Consumption – that breeds unsustainable production – and that breeds Hotter World and that is Hungry World, disastrous world. If we feel the need of Warning Free World for our next generation we must have bridle on our consumption. And since 2004 sasrai appeal for that – `HOW MUCH LESS CONSUMING I COULD BE.’  In absence of sasrai feeling, thinking and practice we can’t offer a habitable earth for our next generation. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=532999326722502&set=a.410051592350610.85835.410048385684264&type=1&theater

http://climaterealityproject.org/2013/01/16/the-face-of-climate-change-in-america/#comment-78197

Need Safe Space for our Kids. Needs Each Kids responsible Each particle of Food and Environment.

Be A Human

Africa Will Starve and Asia Will Drown in 30 Years Due to Climate Change
Humanity/Nature/Globe in NEED of a great leader – NEED A Declaration – sasrai ONLY THE PATH TO SAVE MOTHER PLANET EARTH, NATURE. It’s only the path to Eliminate Racial Discrimination – End violence against WOMEN and CHILDREN. sasrai only the path to end POVERTY, VULNERABILITY, HUNGER, DISASTER, CLIMATE Threat. Each second, minute, hour day needed to be spent considering earth, environment and humanity. We must get each child caring to each particle of food and resources. Wish the Peace, Justice, Dignity and Rights for all – save a bit, reserve, preserve, rejuvenate and conserve resources.
Need Safe Space for our Kids. Needs Each Kids responsible Each particle of Food and Environment. Present Earth desperately need Each Child as Environment Ambassador

https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=oa.10152791234157402&type=1

Absolute truth for today’s world careless consumption driving untenable production that driving changes in temperature and weather patterns and that’s the Hotter and Hungry World. Hungry world will contribute millions of desperate people. Desperate people do desperate things: They riot, they fight over food, they overthrow governments, and the mass migrate to food-secure countries.
Humanity in need of Climate Responsible Community, Climate Compatible Development

Need Safe Space for our Kids. Needs Each Kids responsible Each particle of Food and Environment.
Humanity demand Each Child Environment Ambassador
 Environment is Democracy, Transparency, People’s Voice, Decentralization, Justice for All, Rights for all, Flexibility, Equality, Equal Facility, Risk Reduction
 Environment is Waste Reduction, Reuse, Repair, Rejuvenation, Reservation, Conservation
 Environment is Threat Free Life, Tension Free Life, Dictation Free Life, Fair living, Friendly Living, Dignity for All
 Environment is Cooperative, Collaborative and Concerted Effort

sasrai-Movement in need of Rhymes/Jingles/Chara/Song in different language that would be children friendly. If anyone Kind enough to compose it for voice message we will highly grateful to her/him on behalf of all living body in the Universe.
—Bangla, Hindi, Arabic, Malayalam, Urdu, English ————————etc.

sasrai BANNER

52% decline in Earth’s Wildlife in 40 Yrs

Wish the Peace, Justice, Dignity and Rights for all – save a bit, reserve, preserve, rejuvenate and conserve resources.

sasrai Can End the Violence

Image

Appeal to 19 Days of Activism Campaign

To

Elly Pradervand
WWSF CEO and UN Representative
19 Days of Activism Campaign

Children-Youth Section

WWSF Women’s World Summit Foundation

Dear Madam/Sir

Greetings. Thanks for highly praised initiative 19 Days of Activism Campaign. I am proud of being informed by you.

My humble submission last three 4/5 years I am in a dialogue with several experts on my observation `People in Power across the globe become a consumption slaver. We have lost our freedom of thinking even. And I call it intellectual disability.’

Recently I met Ms. Elisabeth Wickeri, Executive Director, Leitner Center. I have presented her and some of her colleagues our joint observation `Catastrophic Trend of the society’ Education has become a means of money making.’ Our issues/progeny beginning their life absolutely a money making orientation due to our top to bottom Consumption Slavery. Well-off family children coming to costly education institution, purchasing/achieving a certificated praised by the corporate body and investing her/his total strength for the benefit to corporate or any other international body. They ignore ethics, principle, morality, honesty. Our youth forces demand more money for luxury/purchase that we can say Consumption Slavery. And they are frustrated, in apathy, and bondless to family. And just last 30 years back we were varsity student and our position was completely different. Our motto was to serve the nation, humanity with little exception. Presently all are bloody money monger with minor exception.

Considering above mentioned situation we cannot expect anything fair in near future till we failed to have drastic action to bring significant change in mindset. Since 2004 we are trying sasrai-Movement aimed at better earth for our next generation, bringing significant change in mindset among all.

My earnest request to your good offices to include sasrai theme in your 2014 Prevention Kit. sasrai ONLY THE PATH TO SAVE MOTHER PLANET EARTH, NATURE. It’s only the path to Eliminate Racial Discrimination – End violence against WOMEN and CHILDREN. sasrai only the path to end POVERTY, VULNERABILITY, HUNGER, DISASTER, CLIMATE Threat. Each second, minute, hour day needed to be spent considering earth, environment and humanity. We must get each child caring to each particle of food and resources. Wish the Peace, Dignity and Rights for all – save a bit, reserve, preserve, rejuvenate and conserve resources.

Kindest Regards

SM Farid Uddin Akhter
Secretariat In-charge

sasrai-Movement
email: fgaleeb@gmail.com Phone:+88 01553 748 354

Let’s we try to save one Taka/dollar/pound/yen ……..from our daily use, consumption, expenditure, LUXURY combat the CLIMATE CHANGE, GLOBAL WARMING and the sequences.

Humanity demand Environment Ambassador

  • Environment is Democracy, Transparency, People’s Voice, Decentralization, Justice for All, Rights for all, Flexibility, Equality, Equal Facility, Risk Reduction
  • Environment is Waste Reduction, Reuse, Repair, Rejuvenation, Reservation, Conservation
  • Environment is Threat Free Life, Tension Free Life, Dictation Free Life, Fair living, Friendly Living, Dignity for All
  • Environment is Cooperative, Collaborative and Concerted Effort